Nvidia is navigating a massive surge in demand for its advanced H200 AI chips. Chinese technology giants recently placed orders for over 2 million units for the 2026 season. Consequently, Nvidia reached out to TSMC to significantly ramp up its manufacturing capacity. Currently, the chipmaker holds only 700,000 units in its global inventory. This massive supply gap forces a strategic shift in production priorities.
Furthermore, the demand primarily stems from major Chinese internet firms seeking performance upgrades. These companies view the H200 as a vital tool for their AI development. Specifically, ByteDance plans to spend nearly 100 billion yuan on these chips in 2026. This potential investment represents a significant increase from their 2025 spending levels. However, the exact additional volume from TSMC remains under private discussion.
Transitioning to manufacturing details, TSMC likely begins this expanded output in early 2026. This schedule creates pressure on global AI chip supplies during the next year. Meanwhile, Nvidia must balance this Chinese demand with its existing domestic commitments. The H200 chips utilize a sophisticated 4-nanometer process for high-efficiency computing. Therefore, any production delays could ripple through the entire global technology sector.
Regarding pricing, Nvidia set a competitive target for its specific Chinese variants. Each chip will cost roughly $27,000 to attract high-volume buyers. An eight-chip module carries a price tag of approximately 1.5 million yuan. Surprisingly, this price offers a 15% discount compared to current grey-market options. Chinese firms find this attractive because the H200 outperforms previous limited models.
Nevertheless, regulatory uncertainty continues to hang over these massive commercial deals. The Trump administration recently allowed H200 exports despite previous strict trade bans. Yet, Beijing has not officially cleared these shipments for domestic use. Chinese officials worry that foreign chips might hinder their own local industry. One proposal suggests bundling Nvidia purchases with locally made semiconductor products. Despite these hurdles, Nvidia expects to ship initial batches by mid-February 2026.
